Global Population Distribution and Population Density

Global population distribution is the pattern of where people live on Earth, and population density is the average number of people per square kilometer, found by dividing the population of an area by its land area. In brief: the world has about 8 billion people, but they are spread very unevenly: most live in South and East Asia, Europe, and along coasts and river valleys, while deserts, polar regions, high mountains and dense rainforests are sparsely populated. A country of 60 million people on 240,000 km2 has a density of 60,000,000 ÷ 240,000 = 250 people per km2.

60 000 000 ÷ 240 000 = 250 1 km² : 250

Understanding where people live helps explain demand for food, water, housing and services. This guide explains how density is measured, which factors shape distribution, compares densely and sparsely populated regions, works through density calculations, outlines how the world population has grown and corrects common mistakes.

How is population density calculated?

The basic formula is population density = total population ÷ land area. It is usually given in people per km2. This measure is called arithmetic density and is simple, but it is an average that hides large differences within a country.

Two other measures give more detail. Physiological density divides the population by the area of arable (farmable) land, which shows the pressure on food-producing land. Agricultural density divides the number of farmers by the arable land and shows how many farmers each unit of land supports. A country can have a low arithmetic density but a high physiological density if most of its land is desert or mountain, as in Egypt, where most people live in the Nile Valley and Delta.

Where do people live?

About nine in ten people live in the Northern Hemisphere, and more than half of all people live in urban areas. Four regions hold large concentrations: East Asia (especially eastern China, Japan and Korea), South Asia (the Indian subcontinent, with fertile plains such as the Ganges), Europe and parts of eastern North America. China and India each have more than 1.4 billion people, so together they account for around a third of humanity.

Some countries have extreme densities. Singapore and Monaco are city-states with thousands of people per km2, and Bangladesh has around 1,000 per km2 across a large country. At the other end, Mongolia and Namibia have only a few people per km2, and Greenland and Antarctica have almost none. Within countries, cities and coastal zones are far more crowded than the interior.

Which factors affect population distribution?

People tend to settle where the environment supports life and where jobs and services exist.

Physical factors

Human factors

Dense and sparse regions compared

Typical features of densely and sparsely populated areas
Feature Densely populated Sparsely populated
ReliefFlat plains, river valleysMountains, plateaus
ClimateMild, reliable rainfallVery cold, dry or hot and wet
ResourcesFertile soil, water, mineralsPoor soil, little water
EconomyIndustry, services, tradeHerding, hunting, mining
ExamplesGanges plain, Java, western EuropeSahara, Siberia, Amazon, Outback

Worked example: density calculations

  1. Arithmetic density: a country has 50 million people and a land area of 200,000 km2. The density is 50,000,000 ÷ 200,000 = 250 people per km2.
  2. Physiological density: if only 40,000 km2 of that land is arable, the physiological density is 50,000,000 ÷ 40,000 = 1,250 people per km2 of arable land, five times the arithmetic density.
  3. Agricultural density: if 5 million of those people are farmers, the agricultural density is 5,000,000 ÷ 40,000 = 125 farmers per km2 of arable land.
  4. Comparing regions: region A has 3,000,000 people on 1,500 km2 (2,000 per km2) and region B has 600,000 on 120,000 km2 (5 per km2). Region A is 2,000 ÷ 5 = 400 times as dense.
  5. Land per person: in region A, 1 km2 = 1,000,000 m2, so each person has on average 1,000,000 ÷ 2,000 = 500 m2. In region B, each has 1,000,000 ÷ 5 = 200,000 m2.

How has world population grown?

For most of history, the number of people grew slowly. According to United Nations estimates, the world population reached 1 billion around 1804 and then grew faster as medicine, sanitation and farming improved. The time needed to add each further billion became much shorter.

World population milestones (UN estimates)
Population Year reached Years since previous billion
1 billion1804–
2 billion1927123
3 billion196033
4 billion197414
5 billion198713
6 billion199912
7 billion201112
8 billion202211

Growth rates have slowed in recent decades, and most projections expect the total to peak later this century, though the exact date and level are uncertain.

World population reaching each billion, 1804 to 2022 Year World population (billions) 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 0 2 4 6 8 1804 1927 1960 1974 1987 1999 2011 2022
World population milestones from the table above (UN estimates): 1 billion in 1804, 2 billion in 1927 and 8 billion in 2022. The curve steepens because the time needed to add each billion shrank from 123 years (from 1 to 2 billion) to 11 years (from 7 to 8 billion).

Which mistakes are common?

Mistake 1: Treating the national average as the local reality

A country with moderate density can still have extremely crowded cities and empty regions.

Mistake 2: Confusing density with total population

Canada has tens of millions of people, far more than a small city-state such as Singapore, yet its density is very low because its area is huge. Total population and density answer different questions.

Mistake 3: Believing that harsh places are always empty

Technology, trade and resources can support large populations in deserts and cold regions, as in the Gulf states.

Mistake 4: Mixing up arithmetic and physiological density

Arithmetic density uses all land. Physiological density uses only arable land and is a better indicator of pressure on food production.